We can easily get used to things like Cash for Clunkers without realizing that they were temporary programs. As was well publicized, that particular auto program used up its allocated funds quickly and was terminated. So what about housing?
Since mid-2008, a number of new laws were passed to help boost the housing market. Some aspects of the programs have been notable failures -- features like trying to get lenders to modify loans that are in danger of foreclosure. Not much has happened on that front, but other parts have been more successful. Can we count on them to continue?
The first is the $8,000 tax credit for first-time homebuyers. This is set to expire on November 30th unless Congress extends it. Public opinion is divided on this, with polls I have seen actually favoring not renewing it. The argument is that many of those who got the credit would have bought a home anyway without the credit.
Others say that all it did was move purchasers forward in time, that these buyers would have bought next year anyway. The argument about wastefulness can certainly be raised here because it is silly to give money to people who would have bought anyway. At the other end of the spectrum are those who say that the credit ought to be extended to ALL homebuyers, not just first-time homebuyers.
With signs that the housing market and the overall economy are improving, what Washington will do is anyone’s guess. They are unusually silent about their intentions, so if you are a first-time homebuyer who would qualify for this program, I would hurry to close escrow before November 30th.
On the mortgage scene, things are a bit more complicated. An emergency increase in loan limits for some 250 high-cost counties was instituted in July 2008 as part of the Economic Stimulus Act. That limit was to be a maximum of $729,750 and was in effect until December 31, 2008.
Enter the Housing and Economic Recovery Act, which instituted a permanent high balance loan limit of $625,500, again only for high-cost counties. In February, policymakers seemed to acknowledge that this was a mistake, so the limit was again raised on a temporary basis, back up to the $729,250 limit. That temporary increase is set to expire on December 31, 2009 and unless Congress acts again, the limit will be $625,000 again for 2010. To can see how your county might be affected,
view the spreadsheet.
Again, we have no clue as to Congressional intention, so if you are in a high-cost area you should carefully study the limits to see how they might affect your plans. Note that unless extended, lenders are likely to stop funding loans over the $625,500 limit on December 1st so they have ample time to deliver the loans by December 31st.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are also going to be more restrictive in their underwriting. They have announced changes that will have the effect of shutting some people out of the market. More on that topic next week.